The Indiana Pacers are 9.5-point underdogs in Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Monday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is tied at 2-2.
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Thunder vs. Pacers Predictions for Monday
Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Thunder 122, Pacers 107.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-426)
- Total Pick: Over 224.5 (computer predicts 229.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-9.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Pacers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/13/2025 | Thunder | -6 | 228 | -234 | +191 | 111-104 OKC |
| 6/11/2025 | Thunder | -5.5 | 226 | -224 | +184 | 116-107 IND |
| 6/8/2025 | Thunder | -11.5 | 228.5 | -581 | +424 | 123-107 OKC |
| 6/5/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 230 | -510 | +387 | 111-110 IND |
| 3/29/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 236 | -437 | +336 | 132-111 OKC |
| 12/26/2024 | Thunder | -5 | 227.5 | -215 | +177 | 120-114 OKC |
| 4/5/2024 | Pacers | -6.5 | 234.5 | -229 | +189 | 126-112 IND |
| 3/12/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 240.5 | -221 | +181 | 121-111 IND |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has compiled a 54-26-2 record against the spread.
- When they have played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 27-14-1 against the spread.
- Oklahoma City's games have hit the over in 46 out of 82 opportunities (56.1%).
- The Thunder have entered the game as favorites 79 times this season and won 66, or 83.5%, of those games.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 34-5, a 87.2% win rate, when it's favored by -426 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Pacers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Indiana has a 38-43-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Pacers have a 2-2 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 9.5 points or more this year.
- Indiana's games have hit the over 44 out of 82 times (53.7%).
- The Pacers have won 48.5% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (16-17).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +328 or longer, Indiana has a record of 2-2 (50%).
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Thunder vs. Pacers Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Pacers
Pacers:
Jarace Walker: Out (Ankle),
Isaiah Jackson: Out For Season (Calf)
Thunder vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, June 16, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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